R-Squared (R²) Calculator — Coefficient of Determination
Enter your X and Y data points to instantly calculate R², Pearson's r, the regression line equation, and a full goodness-of-fit interpretation — free, no sign-up required.
R-Squared (R²) Calculator — Enter Your Data
0–0.25
0.25–0.5
0.5–0.75
0.75–0.9
0.9–1
| # | X | Y | Ŷ (predicted) | Residual (Y−Ŷ) | (Y−Ŷ)² |
|---|
R² Formulas & How It's Calculated
SStot = Σ(yᵢ − ȳ)² · total sum of squares
b = ȳ − m·x̄
Step-by-Step Calculation
- Compute the mean of X (x̄) and mean of Y (ȳ)
- Calculate the slope m and intercept b of the best-fit line
- For each point, compute the predicted value ŷᵢ = m·xᵢ + b
- Sum the squared residuals: SSres = Σ(yᵢ − ŷᵢ)²
- Sum the total variance: SStot = Σ(yᵢ − ȳ)²
- R² = 1 − SSres/SStot
How to Interpret R²
| R² Range | Interpretation | Typical Use |
|---|---|---|
| 0.00 – 0.25 | Very weak / no relationship | Exploratory research, noisy data |
| 0.25 – 0.50 | Weak relationship | Social sciences, behavioral studies |
| 0.50 – 0.75 | Moderate relationship | Economics, marketing models |
| 0.75 – 0.90 | Strong relationship | Engineering, physical sciences |
| 0.90 – 1.00 | Very strong / excellent fit | Controlled experiments, calibration |
| 1.00 | Perfect fit | Mathematical identities only |
What R² Actually Tells You
R² tells you whatproportion of the variance in Y is explained by X. An R² of 0.82 means 82% of the variability in Y can be accounted for by the linear relationship with X — and 18% is due to other factors or random noise.
R² Doesn't Mean Causation
A high R² only tells you the linear model fits well. It does not imply Xcauseschanges in Y. Two unrelated variables can have a high R² purely by coincidence (spurious correlation).
When a High R² Can Mislead
- Overfitting— adding more variables to a model always increases R², even random noise. Use Adjusted R² for multiple regression.
- Non-linear data— if your relationship is curved, a linear R² will be misleadingly low. Always check the scatter plot.
- Outliers— a single extreme point can dramatically inflate or deflate R².
R² vs Adjusted R²
Adjusted R² penalizes models with unnecessary predictors. For simple linear regression (one X, one Y) R² and adjusted R² are effectively the same. Adjusted R² matters when comparing models with different numbers of variables.
R-Squared FAQ
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